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VVIX_VIX_RATIO

VVIX/VIX ratio — the 'fragile calm' / VAR-shock regime indicator

derivedlive

Official name: VVIX/VIX Ratio

Frequency: DailyUnits: Ratio4 996 observations

Latest value

5.5798

as of 2026-04-10

All-time percentile

54th

1-year change

+44.5%

all-time low: 1.32all-time high: 10.32

Time series

Showing 628 of 1 255 data points

About this series

The ratio of VVIX (volatility of VIX) to VIX itself. Flagged by macro strategists as one of the most important charts for identifying regime changes during volatility shocks — specifically, for identifying when a VIX spike is *ending*.

Why it matters: When VVIX is high relative to VIX, market makers are pricing heavy uncertainty about VIX itself — the classic "fragile calm" setup where a small shock could trigger an outsized spike. More practically: a sharp bottom in the VVIX/VIX ratio historically signals that VIX has peaked for the episode and risk assets are set to bounce. It doesn't necessarily mean the all-clear for the next 6 months — it means VIX hedges are being unwound, so risk-on positioning can resume tactically. It can mark the end of a short-lived wobble or the end of a bigger episode.

How to read it: Watch for sharp local bottoms, not absolute levels. A falling ratio during a VIX spike means VIX is rising faster than VVIX — when that reverses (VVIX starts falling faster than VIX, or VIX starts falling), the ratio bottoms and the risk event is likely ending. Typical range is 3-6.

Caveats: This is a *signal extraction* indicator — the raw level means less than the shape (local extremes and slope changes). Needs the trend/regime visualization work to be really actionable; a number in isolation isn't as useful as a chart showing local minima. A single bottoming signal isn't always the end of the episode; use in combination with VIX9D/VIX term structure and overall price action.